Research on Prediction of Molybdenum Price Based on Cointegration Theory AITranslate
Abstract AITranslate
Based on cointegration theory,the long-term equilibrium relationship was investigated between molybdenum price and gross national product or steel production.And a long-term equilibrium cointegration model and an error correction model were established to predict molybdenum price.The results show that the three variables have cointegration relationship.Error correction model has higher prediction precision than long-term equilibrium cointegration model.The predicted results with the above models for molybdenum price in 2016 indicate that molybdenum price will continue to decline to 615 yuan per mtu within the next year.
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DOI：
Chinese Library Classification Number:F407.1[经济管理—产业经济]
Citation Information:
Based on cointegration theory,the long-term equilibrium relationship was investigated between molybdenum price and gross national product or steel production.And a long-term equilibrium cointegration model and an error correction model were established to predict molybdenum price.The results show that the three variables have cointegration relationship.Error correction model has higher prediction precision than long-term equilibrium cointegration model.The predicted results with the above models for molybdenum price in 2016 indicate that molybdenum price will continue to decline to 615 yuan per mtu within the next year.
quote
| GB/T 7714-2015 | [1] LU Lei-rong, TAN Xian-zhi, XU Yong-ge. Research on Prediction of Molybdenum Price Based on Cointegration Theory[J]. Rare Metals and Cemented Carbides, 2016(3): 67-72. |
| MLA | [1] LU Lei-rong, et al., "Research on Prediction of Molybdenum Price Based on Cointegration Theory." Rare Metals and Cemented Carbides, no. 3, 2016, pp. 67-72. |
| APA | [1] LU Lei-rong, TAN Xian-zhi, & XU Yong-ge. (2016). Research on Prediction of Molybdenum Price Based on Cointegration Theory. Rare Metals and Cemented Carbides(3), 67-72. |
| IEEE | [1] LU Lei-rong, TAN Xian-zhi, and XU Yong-ge, "Research on Prediction of Molybdenum Price Based on Cointegration Theory," Rare Metals and Cemented Carbides, no. 3, pp. 67-72, 2016. keywords: {molybdenum price prediction;cointegration theory;long-term equilibrium cointegration model;error correction model;gross domestic product;steel production} |